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IPA Advisory Limited (IPA) was engaged in early 2015 to
provide support to Phoenix Power Company SAOC in
Oman for the initial public offering (IPO) of 35% of their shares
on the Muscat Securities Market. This article provides
background and describes the work undertaken, and the
successful outcome for our client as a result.
Setting the scene
The power market in Oman is undergoing significant change and development. The 2004 Sector Law inspired
the unbundling of generation, transmission and distribution.
Until now, only the generation sector has been open to competition, with a number of generating assets being
transferred to, or built by, private companies (highlighted in blue in Figure 1 on the following page).
The Oman Power and Water Procurement Company (OPWP), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Government of
Oman, acts as the single buyer for electricity generation (and desalinated water) and is responsible for ensuring
sufficient electricity capacity in the country, at the lowest cost, in order to satisfy growing demand. The OPWP
does this by entering into power purchase agreements (PPAs) with private power generators, who commit to
providing a specified generating capacity, dispatched on demand.
In 2014, the OPWP announced its intention to introduce new power and water procurement arrangements for
the Main Interconnected System (MIS) (the most populated area of the country, where most of commercial and
industrial activities are located), where about 90% of the capacity currently contracted is owned by independent
power producers (IPPs). Whilst the OPWP is expected to retain its role as the single buyer for electricity and
desalinated water in the future, its proposals include the introduction of a spot market, which is currently being
designed and should be operational by 2017, and of more flexible processes for awarding new, or extending
existing, PPAs.
Under the current framework, OPWP stipulates the PPA with the successful bidder of the competitive tender
for the development of a new plant, typically for a 15-year duration. However, as power plants are expected to
operate for up to 30-40 years, there is a potential revenue stream that can be captured after the expiry of the
contract.
In the next five years the PPAs for almost 25% of total contracted capacity in the MIS are due to expire. To
monetize the residual value of their assets, IPPs will have the option of either re-contracting with OPWP or, in
the light of the latest developments, participating in the spot market.
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Overview of market analysis
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